--- title: "Ryan Sickler: Taco Bell and The American Experience" url: https://stacklist.com/card/0749229b-87f7-4a22-967b-b2748e2e60ff source_url: "https://www.spreadsheetshow.com/p/ryan-sickler-taco-bell-and-the-american" stack: https://stacklist.com/stack/3b3fddc9-0c39-4cc4-a729-c5f840e4dc90 summary: "The Spread Sheet episode features Ryan Sickler discussing Taco Bell's rising Crunchwrap Supreme prices tracked on prediction markets, NFL MVP odds between Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen, and Bad Bunny's chances of being named Sexiest Man Alive. The show explores how prediction markets are colonizing traditional economic and cultural commentary territory." tags: "prediction-markets, taco-bell, inflation, sports-betting, pop-culture, podcast, market-analysis" key_entities: "Ryan Sickler (person), Noah Gardenswartz (person), Lamar Jackson (person), Josh Allen (person), Bad Bunny (person), Jesse Minter (person), Declan Doyle (person), Taco Bell (organization), Kalshi (organization), Polymarket (organization), People Magazine (organization), Baltimore Orioles (organization), Baltimore (location), America (location), prediction-markets (concept), dynamic-pricing (concept), inflation (concept), NFL MVP voting (event)" classification: "transcript" content_hash: "sha256:099688ea5533b271f102c8b626b74e0d4cff7e68262e869ae45de5ac5f89a99a" acp_version: "0.2" token_counts_approximate: 1073 visibility: public agent_accessible: true status: "final" --- # Ryan Sickler: Taco Bell and The American Experience Show Notes Ryan Sickler: Taco Bell and The American Sea of Sameness, Lamar Jackson MVP, Bad Bunny Sexiest Man, & more The Spread Sheet Jul 23, 2026 Share Noah brings in Ryan Sickler to take the pulse of the American experience, starting with the fact that a Crunchwrap Supreme now costs almost seven dollars and there is a federally regulated financial contract tracking exactly how much worse it gets. The value menu was the last honest deal in America, and it has been quietly reengineered into a paltry product with a loyalty app attached. Every chain runs the same playbook now, the same shrinking portions, the same dynamic pricing, the same beige interior with a kiosk where a person used to stand, until every exit off every highway offers the identical sanitized version of the same meal at a price nobody thinks is a value. Then two Baltimore sports trades that split the difference between hope and grief, and we end with why Bad Bunny is going to be People’s Sexiest Man Alive. In This Episode Taco Bell Crunchwrap Supreme price in July 2026 Kalshi runs a live contract asking whether the average US price of a Crunchwrap Supreme in July hits at least $6.67, and the going rate sits right on the knife’s edge around $6.49, with menu prices this year ranging from roughly $5.84 to $6.89 depending on where you stand. It is a thin market, barely a few hundred dollars in daily volume, and a federally regulated exchange is running it. That is the actual story. Kalshi listing consumer price contracts is prediction markets colonizing territory that used to belong to CPI reports and cable news chyrons. Inflation used to be a number an economist announced. Now it is a tortilla you can short. Will the price clear $6.69 by the end of July? NFL MVP Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson are dead even as co-favorites at 11% each on Kalshi and Allen has a 3 point lead on Polymarket. The history is the hook. Lamar has been the market favorite going into each of the last three seasons and lost to Allen last year despite a top-three statistical campaign. The trade thesis is voter fatigue: the narrative slot for “first-time winner in a big market” beats “third for a Raven,” and Baltimore is breaking in a new staff under head coach Jesse Minter, though new offensive coordinator Declan Doyle was reportedly hired with Jackson specifically in mind. The market says coin flip. History says the voters find someone new. Does Lamar get another one? Will the Orioles make the playoffs? The pain trade. Baltimore sits fourth in the AL East at roughly 23% implied on the Playoff Qualifiers event, which is the market’s polite way of saying it is over without actually saying it. This is the emotional inverse of the Lamar segment: same city, same fanbase, opposite register. One trade is hope with a price on it, the other is grief with a price on it, and both resolve by winter. Is there a second-half run in this team, or is 23% generous? People Magazine Sexiest Man 2026? The closer, and the only market on the board decided by a magazine editor rather than a scoreboard. Bad Bunny leads the conversation coming off a year that put him at the center of American pop culture, and the contract resolves on a decision no model can forecast because it is not a competition, it is an editorial meeting. Every other market in this episode settles on a receipt, a stat line, or a standings page. This one settles on vibes and a cover shoot. Does Bad Bunny take the crown? Trade the Markets Every market in this episode is live. Links above. Odds move fast, so what you hear on the show may not be what you see when you click. About The Spread Sheet Your comedic entry into what is trending on prediction markets. Hosted by Noah Gardenswartz. Each week Noah and a guest take the questions the markets are actually pricing, across sports, pop culture, power and tech, and call them. We explain them. We make fun of them. Then we give the verdict: YES or NO. Follow Web: spreadsheetshow.com X: x.com/spreadsheetshow Instagram: instagram.com/spreadsheetshow TikTok: tiktok.com/@spreadsheetshow YouTube: youtube.com/@spreadsheetshow Disclosures Not financial advice. Prediction markets discussed for entertainment and editorial purposes. Trade at your own risk and verify all odds independently. Share